The bullish expectation for Q4 2025, once a beacon of hope, now appears to have been a mere mirage, a cruel jest played by the market upon the hopeful. 😱💸
In particular, tokens like Official Trump [TRUMP] and Melania [MELANIA] have extended their 2025 losses, a tale of woe that would make even a Tolstoy character weep. 🐍
In the past 30 days, MELANIA was down 39% while TRUMP declined by 32%. On a year-to-date (YTD) basis, they had dropped by 96% (to $0.11) and 78% (to $5.70), respectively. A financial tragedy, if ever there was one. 🧠
And they could drop lower if the market weakens into early 2026. A prospect as delightful as a winter in Siberia. ❄️
Memecoin lull impact on MELANIA, TRUMP
Following the Q4 market contraction and a subsequent Bitcoin pullback of over 30%, the memecoin frenzy fizzled out. A fitting end to a season of excess. 🍵
In fact, on a YTD basis across all segments, memecoins have been one of the major underperformers this year. A true “I told you so” moment for skeptics. 🙃
Market attention shifted to privacy coins, triggering an explosive rally across Zcash [ZEC] and other related assets. A classic case of “follow the money.” 💸
In fact, the privacy sector is the only segment to have made a profit (192%) this year, leaving memecoins mania dry. A lesson in fickle trends, indeed. 🌾
Overall, the memecoin sector experienced an average 58% loss in 2025. This meant that MELANIA and TRUMP losses were above average, underscoring that the holders were severely burnt in the market rout. A painful reminder of the risks. 🔥
Interest in TRUMP drops by 78%
The lost momentum in TRUMP and MELANIA was further supported by speculative interest across the Futures market. A perfect storm of despair. 🌪️
According to Velo data, the total Open Interest (OI) shrank from over $550 million in early 2025 to $120 million in December. A 78% drop in market interest, suggesting that attention had shifted elsewhere or traders had exited the market. A tale of abandonment. 🏃♂️💨
For MELANIA, the speculative interest collapsed by 90%. If the broader market contracts further from its current levels, memecoins could bleed out more, and TRUMP and MELANIA could go lower. A grim outlook, to say the least. 😭
Surprisingly, TRUMP still had a strong holder count that suggested long-term conviction. According to Solscan, despite the headwinds over the past three months, the TRUMP token had over 600K holders. A loyal following, though perhaps misguided. 🤯
Overall, the memecoin lull in 2025 dented TRUMP and MELANIA, with the latter likely to dump harder if the market rout extends. A cautionary tale for the unwise. 🚨
Despite a drop in speculative interest, TRUMP still had over half a million holders, suggesting an expectation of potential recovery. A glimmer of hope in a sea of despair. 🌊
Final Thoughts
- Speculative interest in MELANIA and TRUMP collapsed by 90% and 78%, respectively. A testament to the fickle nature of fortune, indeed. 🌀
- But there was a surprising hold behaviour for the TRUMP token despite excessive losses. A curious case of stubbornness, or perhaps delusion. 🧠
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2025-12-02 05:17