As a seasoned researcher with years of experience tracking regulatory developments in the crypto space, I find the latest move by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple Labs to be an intriguing turn of events. The SEC’s decision to appeal Judge Torres’ ruling has sparked intense debate among industry insiders, with many predicting a challenging road ahead for the regulatory body.


As a crypto investor, I learned last week that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission decided to file an appeal in their ongoing legal battle with Ripple Labs. This means the court case is not over yet, and we’ll continue to follow its developments closely.

Among much excitement, there was a strong belief that this move might not happen due to the belief that the regulatory body might decide against it since the odds of success seemed minimal.

It’s likely that the drop in XRP‘s price by over 12%, as seen after the news, took many traders off guard because they weren’t expecting such a significant decrease.

As an analyst, I’m reflecting on the discussion held recently by Attorney Fred Rispoli regarding the potential outcome of the Commission’s attempt to reverse Judge Torres’ ruling. To recap, Judge Torres decided that institutional sales of XRP were deemed investment contracts, but programmatic sales on exchanges were not. Moreover, she significantly reduced the fines proposed by the SEC by over 90%.

In an interview with “Thinking Crypto” podcast, Rispoli stated that the outcome of the SEC’s case would significantly hinge on which panel member is assigned to handle it.

As a researcher examining this situation, I’ve observed that when a panel with a considerable history of aligning with the government is involved, the likelihood of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) prevailing in their decisions increases significantly. To put it into perspective, my analysis suggests that there’s approximately a 70.8% probability that they will emerge victorious in these cases.

It’s also significant to mention that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) hasn’t clarified which aspect of their original decision they plan to contest. Understanding this part is crucial as it could significantly influence the final resolution of the case.

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2024-10-05 08:16