As a researcher with a background in cryptocurrency and blockchain analysis, I find the recent price action of Bitcoin intriguing, especially after the halving event. While volatility has persisted, there are several indicators that suggest optimism for the current market cycle.


Bitcoin‘s value has remained unstable following the much-anticipated halving, with prices fluctuating instead of making significant gains. Nevertheless, market experts maintain a positive outlook on Bitcoin’s price trend during this market phase.

An expert from CryptoQuant’s blockchain analysis team posits that when the difference between the bid and ask prices for bitcoin on Coinbase exchanges (Coinbase Premium) becomes negative, this trend could potentially boost bitcoin’s value.

The Coinbase Premium Index signifies the percentage variation between the BTC-to-USDT rate on Binance and the BTC-to-USD rate on Coinbase Pro. Given that Binance caters to a diverse international user base, whereas Coinbase primarily serves the US market, this price disparity sheds light on the distinctive trading patterns of these two significant cryptocurrency communities.

Coinbase Premium Index Close to Zero

When the Coinbase bid-ask spread, or “Premium,” rises, it signifies that demand for bitcoin is stronger on Coinbase than on Binance, causing the price to be higher there. Conversely, a falling Premium suggests increased selling pressure on Coinbase and lower demand compared to Binance, resulting in a lower listed price.

According to CryptoQuant’s assessment of historical data, bitcoin’s price has a tendency to bounce back when the Coinbase Premium trend is unfavorable and transitions from a downtrend to an uptrend. An instance of this occurred following Grayscale’s successful lawsuit against the SEC, which led to the approval of its GBTC product conversion into a spot Bitcoin ETF and positively influenced BTC‘s price.

The Coinbase Crypto Premium, presently, sits slightly above the zero mark. But should this trend reverse, Bitcoin’s price may surge upwards in response.

As a crypto investor, I believe that if history rhymes, it could be wiser to hold off on investments for a while and consider buying during the rebound once the market trend takes a turn for the worse.

Accumulation Continues Amid Price Fluctuations

Despite the volatile bitcoin prices, the cryptocurrency has garnered heightened attention from investors recently. The recent green light given to various spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) has fueled an increase in investment flows towards the market.

As a financial analyst, I’d rephrase that statement as follows: In early April, I analyzed Coinbase’s Q1 financial report which revealed a significant increase in total revenue by 72%, amounting to $1.6 billion.

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2024-05-13 15:48