As an experienced financial analyst with a background in cryptocurrencies, I find PlanB’s predictions intriguing, especially considering the accuracy of his past analysis using the stock-to-flow (S2F) model. The Bitcoin S2F model is based on the premise that the scarcity of BTC, as determined by its halving cycle, will drive up its price. Although some critics argue that this model has limitations, it’s worth noting that PlanB’s analysis has proven accurate in the past.


PlanB, the originator of the Bitcoin stock-to-flow (S2F) theory, remains steadfast in his BTC price forecasts during this ongoing bull market.

As a crypto analyst, I’ve been closely monitoring the market trends and based on my analysis, Bitcoin is poised to break through the $100,000 barrier this year. There’s a strong possibility that it could even reach the $500,000 mark in the next 12 months. The price range for Bitcoin’s potential rally lies between $250,000 and $1 million.

BTC at $500K in 2025?

As a crypto investor following PlanB’s analysis, I can confirm that his expectations for Bitcoin’s price trend in 2024 and 2025 have remained unaltered since he shared them back in October 2022 when the digital currency was still under $20,000. According to him, the ensuing scarcity resulting from the Bitcoin halving will lead to a significant price increase, as we’ve witnessed in the past during the years 2012, 2016, and 2020.

Despite facing criticism for inaccuracies in recent times, the Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model proposed by PlanB has managed to make some accurate predictions. A notable instance is his forecast that Bitcoin would experience a price surge as the halving event drew near, and that this event would transpire when the asset’s value was ranging between $55,000 and $60,000.

The prophecies were validated as Bitcoin achieved its maximum value of $73,700 prior to the halving, subsequently dipping to $63,000 during the occasion. It remains uncertain when Bitcoin will surpass $100,000 in 2021 and eventually reach the projected goal of $500,000 by next year.

The Onset of a New Cycle

Last month, the crypto expert predicted that May signified the start of the countdown towards the next Bitcoin halving in 2028. He indicated that Bitcoin’s closing price of $60,632 in April symbolized the conclusion and achievement of the previous halving cycle.

According to PlanB’s perspective, Bitcoin may attain an average cost of around $500,000 from the years 2024 to 2028. The S2F model previously forecasted an average price of approximately $55,000 for the Bitcoin price cycle between 2020 and 2024. However, Bitcoin’s actual value during this period was closer to $34,000.

The S2F model’s examination eases concerns among crypto enthusiasts about Bitcoin reaching fresh peaks following the halving, despite the digital currency touching a record high prior to the event. PlanB predicted in March that Bitcoin would experience ten months of intense fear-of-missing-out (FOMO), marked by dramatic price surges and significant declines as low as $30,000. Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency is expected to hit new heights in the upcoming months.

As a crypto investor following PlanB’s analysis, I hold faith in his belief that Bitcoin will not dip below $33,000 during future bear markets and post-halving corrections.

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2024-06-06 15:40