As a seasoned crypto investor with a few years under my belt, I’ve learned to keep a close eye on market news and developments. Lately, the crypto markets have been on a rollercoaster ride, and Thursday was no exception.


During U.S. trading sessions on Thursday, cryptocurrency markets experienced downward pressure, marking a continuation of a trend initiated the previous day following the Federal Reserve’s indication that they anticipated raising interest rates just once in 2023.

As a researcher studying the cryptocurrency market, I’ve noticed an intriguing price movement in ether (ETH). Following U.S. Securities and Exchange Chairman Gary Gensler’s testimony at a Senate hearing, where he expressed his anticipation that spot Ether Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) would secure approvals from the SEC by summer’s end, ether experienced a mid-morning price surge.

Ether saw a 1% rise due to the latest news update, but this proved to be a deceitful bump as its value plummeted by over 3% within an hour. Currently, ether is being traded at $3,440, representing a 5% decrease in its value over the last 24 hours. The CoinDesk 20 Index also followed suit with a 4.9% decline during this timeframe.

The price of bitcoin (BTC) dipped by almost 5%, reaching a one-week low of around $66,300 for trade.

As a researcher studying financial markets, I’ve observed that the market trend took a turn for the worse around Wednesday afternoon. The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting results, which kept the benchmark fed funds rate range unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%, came as a surprise due to their hawkish tone. Initially, markets had anticipated multiple 25 basis point rate cuts in 2024 based on futures market data. However, the updated Fed projections indicated only one such reduction was expected. Consequently, rate futures markets have adjusted their expectations accordingly.

As an analyst, I would interpret the U.S. economic data released Thursday morning as follows: The crypto market’s mood did not show any signs of improvement, with the data suggesting a persistent softening in both inflation and the economy. Contrary to expectations, the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% instead of rising by 0.1%. On an annual basis, PPI registered a smaller increase of 2.2%, falling short of the anticipated 2.5% growth. Additionally, initial jobless claims unexpectedly surged to almost a one-year high of 242,000, exceeding predictions for a weekly decrease to 225,000.

According to widely respected analyst Skew, in a recent post on the X platform, the market’s current state of $66K appears to be an equilibrium. Despite numerous bullish indicators such as improving inflation data, a Bitcoin-favorable presidential candidate in Donald Trump, approved spot ETH ETFs, and record-breaking highs in U.S. stocks, the market remains unwilling to sustainably rise further.

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2024-06-13 19:30