As a researcher with experience in cryptocurrency markets, I believe that the recent improvement in Bitcoin’s liquidity could significantly impact its price trajectory over the coming months. The strengthening of liquidity, as evidenced by the increasing market depth and the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, can help mitigate price volatility and reduce the impact of large sell-offs.


After the latest Bitcoin halving, market experts are keenly observing how liquidity will influence the digital currency’s direction in the upcoming quarters.

Based on data from Kaiko, the improvement in market liquidity may fuel a prolonged increase in bitcoin’s value.

Bitcoin’s Liquidity Rebounds

As a financial analyst, I would explain that liquidity refers to the ability to quickly buy or sell an asset without causing a significant price shift. According to current data, Bitcoin’s (BTC) liquidity has been on an upward trend since the price dips following the FTX collapse. This improvement is largely due to the approval of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).

As a researcher studying the Bitcoin market, I can confirm that Kaiko’s findings support the notion that enhanced liquidity is beneficial for Bitcoin. This improvement can help moderate price fluctuations and lessen the influence of significant sell-offs. A robust liquidity environment is crucial in fostering a sustained uptrend in Bitcoin’s price movement and boosting investor confidence, thereby increasing market demand.

As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed an impressive surge in bitcoin’s market depth since the halving on April 20th. The aggregated market depth has grown significantly from $323.91 million on April 14th to an impressive $419.97 million by April 22nd.

As a researcher studying the trends in cryptocurrency markets, I’ve noticed an overall improvement in market liquidity. However, I can’t ignore the concerns surrounding weekend trading activity. Historically, managing liquidity during weekends and overnight hours has proven to be challenging in crypto markets. This issue has resulted in a noticeable decrease in bitcoin’s weekend trading volumes over the past three years.

Despite the halving not causing an immediate decrease in weekend trade volumes, which remained roughly at $10 billion per day following the event, a decline in this figure might diminish the benefits of increased market liquidity.

As a crypto investor, I’m excited about the potential approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF, the improving liquidity conditions, and the increasing transaction fees. However, I can’t ignore the macroeconomic uncertainties that persist, making it uncertain how the post-halving trajectory will unfold.

Macroeconomic Factors

As a seasoned crypto investor, I’ve observed that past Bitcoin halvings have aligned with prolonged periods of low-interest rates and steady inflation. Consequently, these conditions have fueled the fires of impressive bull runs in the aftermath.

As a crypto investor, I’ve observed that from 2009 to 2016, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates at around 0.25%. They occasionally bumped up the rates to 2.5% in 2019 but later lowered them back down to 0.25% by the third halving in 2020.

As a researcher studying the relationship between interest rates and investment in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), I have found that low rates tend to increase the appeal of riskier assets, such as BTC. Although BTC is sometimes perceived as a safe haven asset, its true correlation lies with risk assets. Consequently, when central banks lower interest rates, they inadvertently create an environment that favors investment in high-risk assets like BTC.

Moving on, simply halving the supply won’t be enough to maintain a prolonged bull market for Bitcoin. To keep the upward trend going, the cryptocurrency needs to draw in fresh investors, possibly through the US and Hong Kong’s upcoming spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Enhancing liquidity and demand will therefore play a crucial role in Bitcoin’s value proposition during the next few months.

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2024-04-26 15:56