Bitcoin rebounded from lows near $62,500 in Asian morning hours on Friday, amidst a global asset sell-off entering its third day.Despite the rebound, BTC remained under pressure, trading near its 50-day moving average, which is a key technical support level for traders.
As a seasoned analyst with over two decades of experience in financial markets, I have seen my fair share of market volatility and geopolitical tensions affecting asset prices. Bitcoin’s latest rebound from lows near $62,500 is just another chapter in this ongoing saga.In the role of an analyst, I would rephrase the sentence as follows: This morning in Asia, Bitcoin (BTC) turned around its losses, with the ongoing global asset sell-off on its third consecutive day this week being further intensified by geopolitical unrest in the Middle East.

During the American trading session on Thursday, Bitcoin dropped down to about $62,500, then regained losses and was trading around $64,000 at 6:30 UTC. This price point is close to its 50-day moving average, which acts as a strategic support level for certain traders.

In simpler terms, if the price continues to decrease, the areas around $63,000 and $61,000 are crucial as they are close to where the 50 and 200-day moving averages converge, according to Alex Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro. If this support fails, it could potentially lead us down to $55,000, which is quite concerning.

“Bitcoin often experiences significant losses in August, with it ending the month positively just five times out of the last 13 years, compared to eight times when it closes down. On average, Bitcoin has decreased by 15.4% during these negative months, but when it rises, the average increase is around 26%. This was mentioned as a point.”

Over the past 24 hours, I’ve observed a downward trend in the crypto market, coinciding with a dip in global equity markets. Specifically, Ether (ETH) dipped by approximately 1.6%, while XRP and Solana’s SOL experienced more significant losses, around 8%. This negative movement was reflected across the board, as evidenced by the CoinDesk 20 (CD20), a market cap-weighted index excluding stablecoins, which saw a decrease of 2.44%. In essence, the broader crypto market appears to be mirroring the global equities’ weakness.
The widespread drop in Bitcoin (BTC) was reflected in certain Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, as indicated by market analysis.
Bitcoin Traders Eye $55K Amid U.S. Stocks Sell-off, XRP Leads Losses in Major Cryptos
In contrast, while Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) on U.S. stock exchanges experienced a combined daily influx of approximately $50.6 million, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), Coinbase Bitcoin Trust (FBTC), ARK Invest’s Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), and HODL ETF saw outflows instead.

While the collective Ether ETFs experienced a net inflow of $26.75 million, many of them recorded no change in their holdings.

On Thursday, the tech-focused Nasdaq 100 experienced a 2.6% decline, while the S&P 500 Index dropped by 1.4%. This represents a near-complete reversal of Wednesday’s 1.6% increase, primarily due to apprehensions about the U.S. economy and potential profits for technology companies.

Elsewhere, Japan’s Topix index dropped 6% on Friday to mark its biggest fall since 2016.

In a communication with CoinDesk, Presto Research emphasized that Microstrategy (MSTR) excelled in the second quarter of 2024, largely due to its strategic 3.7% increase in Bitcoin per share through “smart borrowing,” a proposed $2 billion equity sale for purchasing Bitcoins, and the intention to implement fair-value accounting for Bitcoins by the first quarter of 2025. This move is expected to boost not only Microstrategy but also the overall Bitcoin market.

Year-to-date, MSTR is up 118%, while BTC is up 45%, according to CoinDesk Indices data.

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2024-08-02 10:49