As an experienced analyst, I believe that Polkadot’s failure to break above the critical resistance levels of $7.5 and the 100-day moving average suggests a possible short-term consolidation or correction. The daily chart shows that buyers have faced significant challenges pushing the price beyond this resistance zone, with the 4-hour chart revealing a potential double-top pattern near the same resistance range.
The price of Polkadot has had difficulty surpassing the significant resistance level at $7.5 and the 100-day moving average, which currently hovers around $7.4.
As a crypto investor, I believe that while the present bullish trend is noteworthy, it may not be enough to sustain further growth. Consequently, a potential short-term pause or consolidation around this significant level seems plausible.
Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
An in-depth analysis of Polkadot’s daily price chart reveals that following a resurgence in buying interest around the $6.5 support mark, the asset underwent a robust uptrend. This upward momentum propelled DOT towards a significant resistance area, which encompasses the 100-day moving average and the static level at $7.5. Overcoming this pivotal price threshold could potentially trigger further demand, setting the stage for an extended bullish trend.
The recent price behavior around the $7.5 threshold suggests waning bullish energy. Pushing the price above this resistance has become a tough task for buyers. Consequently, we may observe sideways trading or minor pullbacks before the next significant trend emerges. In the interim, the $6.4 mark is poised to act as a crucial support level in the medium term.
The 4-Hour Chart
As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed that the bullish momentum has started to weaken on the 4-hour chart once we hit a substantial resistance area. The price hasn’t been able to surpass the previous swing high, which is concerning. This resistance zone is marked by the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $7.415 and the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $7.821. However, a potential double-top pattern emerging near this resistance could indicate a brief reversal in the short term.
Should buyers overcome the substantial resistance at $7.8, the next target would be the upper boundary of the wedge in the mid-term. Conversely, a rejection at this level could lead to another downward move, targeting the wedge’s lower boundary. A decisive breakout from this wedge pattern will be necessary to determine Polkadot’s future direction.
Sentiment Analysis
By Shayan
The price of Polkadot has started to weaken, with no success in surpassing its prior peak at $7.7. It’s essential to assess the futures market sentiment to predict if this upward trend persists, given that the futures market’s mood plays a pivotal role in shaping price fluctuations.
As a researcher studying the cryptocurrency market, I’ve created a chart that displays Polkadot’s daily pricing data in conjunction with open interest and funding rates. Despite the recent price surge, both open interest and funding rates have remained relatively low, showing little sign of significant growth. This observation suggests a weakened bullish momentum for Polkadot, potentially leading to a correction or consolidation period.
The market behavior implies that investors aren’t aggressively adding to their long positions, suggesting they’re uncertain about extending the upward trend. With subdued funding rates and minimal open interest, there’s a higher probability of a price correction or consolidation.
This means that Polkadot may enter a period of sideways movement or slight declines before determining its next direction. Nevertheless, if the open interest and funding rates increase, this would signal renewed bullish momentum. An uptick in these metrics would indicate that traders are gaining confidence and entering more aggressive long positions, potentially solidifying the uptrend.
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2024-05-27 14:38