As an experienced financial analyst, I closely monitor the crypto markets and economic calendar. The recent flat performance of the crypto markets following last week’s fall is not surprising given the upcoming key inflation data and Federal Reserve speeches. These events could lead to increased volatility in the markets.
As a researcher studying the crypto market trends, I observed that there was little movement over the weekend, with prices remaining relatively stable after a significant decline the previous week. Consequently, the total crypto market capitalization dipped to approximately $2.38 trillion.
This week’s economic schedule may lead to increased market fluctuations due to the release of crucial inflation figures and several Federal Reserve talks. These events could provide insights into the potential future course of monetary policy.
Economic Calendar
On Tuesday, the much-anticipated core Producer Price Index (PPI) report is scheduled to be published. This index provides insights into the prices of inputs used by manufacturers and producers. In essence, it reflects the cost of making consumer goods, ultimately influencing retail pricing.
As a researcher, I would express it this way: I believe that examining this particular economic indicator can provide valuable insights into potential inflation trends. Specifically, an increase in this indicator may serve as a signal of upcoming inflationary pressures, making it a useful predictor for the following month’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
Key Events This Week:
1. April PPI Inflation data – Tuesday
2. Fed Chair Powell Speaks – Tuesday
3. April CPI Inflation data – Wednesday
4. April Retail Sales data – Wednesday
5. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing data – Thursday
6. Total of 12 Fed speaker events this week…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 12, 2024
The Core Consumer Price Index report for April will be unveiled on Wednesday. This is among the two vital signs monitored to gauge inflation, with the other being the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE).
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) significantly influences price movements in the economy, affects consumer expenditures, and shapes business perspectives. Moreover, it plays a pivotal role in determining the Federal Reserve’s interest rate adjustments.
As an analyst, I’ve noticed that if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation continues to climb upwards this week, it would signify the third consecutive monthly uptick.
As an analyst, I’d like to point out that there are a dozen speaking engagements scheduled by Federal Reserve officials this week, with Chair Jerome Powell among them, set to speak on Tuesday.
Based on the latest findings from The Conference Board’s CEO Expectations Survey, I discovered that most American CEOs anticipate the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates only once in 2023.
Among the 136 CEOs polled, approximately 31% of them anticipate no interest rate reductions in the current year. Concurrently, around 26% of these executives forecast two rate cuts. Simultaneously, financial markets have set a benchmark for two rate cuts this year as a standard assumption, with the first reduction predicted to occur in September. (Source: Kobeissi’s report)
As a crypto investor, I found Elon Musk’s recent criticism of the Federal Reserve intriguing. He drew a parallel between the Fed and the Monopoly board game, specifically referring to the in-game bank that never goes bankrupt and has the power to print new money whenever required.
How the Federal Reserve works
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 11, 2024
Crypto Market Outlook
In Asian markets on this Monday morning, crypto prices generally show a calm picture, as the majority of significant cryptocurrencies exhibit minimal changes.
As I conduct my research, I note that the price of Bitcoin hovered around $61,000 at the current moment, a figure consistent with the previous day’s value. Nevertheless, a decline of 4.3% was observed when comparing its value to that of the same time last week.
I’ve analyzed Ethereum‘s price trend and found that it has struggled to surpass the $3,000 mark since its decline beneath this level on May 10. Currently, Ethereum exhibits a short-term bearish outlook, hovering around $2,900 as I speak.
The majority of altcoins experienced losses, with Solana, Dogecoin, Avalanche, and Near Protocol suffering more significant setbacks.
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2024-05-13 08:07