Jacob Elordi’s Oscar Chances Just Got Scary Good

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Guillermo del Toro’s Frankenstein has faced some uncertainty in its awards journey, but Jacob Elordi’s performance as the Creature has consistently been a highlight, potentially earning him a Best Supporting Actor nomination. Elordi’s character arrives mid-film and powerfully changes the story’s mood, contrasting with the tone set by Dr. Frankenstein’s voiceover. This shift is striking, and even those who aren’t fans of the movie acknowledge Elordi’s talent.

Beyond delivering a physically and emotionally powerful performance that rivals the creature work of Doug Jones in Guillermo del Toro’s films, Jacob Elordi has a fascinating story behind his role. He’s a quickly rising actor who deserves this level of recognition, portraying a famous figure from both literature and film. He stepped into the Frankenstein project on short notice after Andrew Garfield had to withdraw, giving him only weeks to prepare. As awards season progressed, he increasingly seemed poised to earn a nomination despite strong competition.

However, he’s increasingly becoming the frontrunner. While his win at the Critics Choice Awards likely won’t have a big impact on the Oscars, his nomination for the Actor Award (previously known as the SAG Award) is significant – and it’s positioning him for a potential upset win at the Academy Awards in March.

Jacob Elordi Is Being Positioned For A Best Supporting Actor Upset On Oscar Night

As a movie fan, I’m really excited about this year’s Best Supporting Actor race – it’s packed with talent! When One Battle After Another came out, everyone was debating which of its supporting actors deserved recognition, but now it feels like Sean Penn and Benicio del Toro have really emerged as frontrunners. Over on the Best Picture side, Sentimental Value has been a favorite ever since Cannes, and I think Stellan Skarsgård has the best shot at an acting award for that film. He’s a respected actor, and the Academy clearly appreciates his work – plus, he’s popular with the international voters.

Paul Mescal (from Hamnet) and Miles Caton (Sinners) are in strong positions because their films are considered potential frontrunners. Veteran actors Delroy Lindo (Sinners) and Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly) are highly respected but surprisingly haven’t ever been nominated for an Oscar. William H. Macy (Train Dreams) and Billy Crudup (Jay Kelly) both manage to make a significant impact despite having limited screen time. This year’s race is unpredictable, which made Jacob Elordi’s win at the Critics Choice Awards (shared with Amy Madigan from Weapons) feel like a welcome victory for a less conventional choice.

With Frankenstein receiving a Best Cast nomination at the Actor Awards, alongside Jacob Elordi’s supporting actor nod, it’s clear the film has strong support from the Academy’s acting community. This makes it a likely nominee for Best Picture. If other industry guilds also give it awards, Frankenstein could become one of the most nominated films at the Oscars – however, it’s expected to lose in most categories to the leading contenders this year.

Given how popular the movie is, voters might want to acknowledge more than just its visual style. Jacob Elordi, who has received the most praise for his performance, is a strong contender for an award. The competition in his category seems to be shaping up in a way that could favor him.

2026 Actor Awards: Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Miles Caton Sinners
Benicio del Toro One Battle After Another
Jacob Elordi Frankenstein
Paul Mescal Hamnet
Sean Penn One Battle After Another

Both Guillermo del Toro and Sean Penn receiving nominations is good for their film, One Battle After Another, but it could divide votes between them. It will be interesting to see if one of them becomes the clear frontrunner as awards are announced. Jacob Elordi’s recent win suggests the race is very tight. Meanwhile, Bill Skarsgård wasn’t nominated by SAG, and neither were any actors from Sentimental Value. While SAG often overlooks international films, Skarsgård will likely still be among the final five nominees, but this could mean he doesn’t have enough support to win over del Toro or Penn.

Paul Mescal’s chances of winning are now lower than Jessie Buckley’s, who is currently favored to win Best Actress for her performance in Hamnet. While Hamnet initially looked like a strong contender after screenings at film festivals, Marty Supreme has gained more momentum recently. Meanwhile, Caton received a nomination despite being overlooked by the Critics Choice Awards and Golden Globes, making him the most likely nominee to be replaced by Skarsgård.

This gives Elordi a real chance to win, despite being an underdog. Strong support for Frankenstein could help him secure enough votes, even if voters are divided on One Battle After Another. Many believe he deserves to win based on his performance, and the film Frankenstein is predicted to win awards in other categories, potentially including Best Picture. Some voters who prefer One Battle After Another might even vote for Elordi to ensure Frankenstein receives a significant award.

As the Academy Awards approach, this race is one to watch. Jacob Elordi’s chances of winning might actually improve as the voting gets closer, similar to how the monster in Guillermo del Toro’s movie becomes more powerful over time.

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2026-01-10 19:50