Bitcoin has been playing a charming game of “stay within these precise boundaries” lately—think of it as a toddler hugging its favorite blanket tightly between $108,000 and $110,000. It’s like watching a bouncy ball trapped between two invisible walls, occasionally bouncing back from seemingly random dips and rises, but mostly just sitting there politely, waiting for something interesting to happen. 🎢💸
The Curious Case of the Lagging Money Supply (and a Dash of Probability)
According to the wise oracle—also known as analyst Kyle Chassé—Bitcoin’s price tends to follow the global M2 money supply (that’s fancy speak for “how much cash is floating around”) with a mysterious three-month delay. He’s taken the daily closing prices on the Bitstamp exchange and quizzically juxtaposed them against the worldwide M2 data shifted backwards three months. Shockingly, when liquidity balloons, Bitcoin tends to follow suit after roughly 90 days. Who knew the crypto market was so punctual? 🕰️📈
Feeling the Rush and the Crash
Bitcoin first burst past the $109,000 mark this past January, as if it was eager to prove it’s capable of more than just sitting pretty. But then, in a move that surprised no one except those who expected it to behave—like a pet dog that suddenly ignores its owner—it dipped below $75,000 in April. Since then, it’s been cautiously climbing back toward the magical $110,000 plateau. Based on our lag-obsessed friend’s model, this looks more like a pause in an ongoing rollercoaster rather than the curtain falling on the whole ride. 🎢🙄
Growing Money Figures (or Why Your Wallet Might Soon Be a Little Heavier)
Global M2 was approximately $98 trillion at the start of 2023. By early 2024, it sneaked up to just over $108 trillion. Then growth slowed—a bit like a soufflé deflating unexpectedly—and Bitcoin temporarily lost some of its sparkle, hanging out below $80,000. Now, M2 has surpassed $111 trillion, which some very confident people say could propel Bitcoin into mid-2025’s stratosphere, as liquidity remains more stubborn than a stubborn donkey. 🐴💰
Bitcoin is coded to $400K.
— Kyle Chassé / DD (@kyle_chasse) May 27, 2025
Bullish Price Targets (or Why Your Couch Might Become a Fortress)
Chassé boldly projects Bitcoin might shoot up to $400,000 if the global M2 keeps expanding—like a balloon in a superhero movie. He claims it’s “coded” for this to happen, which means roughly a 270% leap from its current cozy perch at $108,000. Assuming the trend continues (and that’s a Big If), those watching liquidity might be in for a wild ride. But beware—markets are as steady as a toddler on a sugar rush, zooming up or plummeting without much warning. 🎢🙃
Other wise sages say that money supply isn’t the only thing at play. Real interest rates, policy mumbo jumbo, and what the on-chain signals are shouting (or mumbling) can all speed up—or completely sabotage—the party. If central banks decide to become more hawkish (which is market-speak for “we’re raising rates, folks!”), Bitcoin might find itself in a bit of a tiff—even if M2 keeps growing like a weed. 🐦📉
What’s Next? The Crystal Ball
Based on the clairvoyant reports from the Global Macro Investor (who probably uses a crystal ball in the office), M2 tends to lead Bitcoin’s dance by about 12 weeks. So, if liquidity growth slows to a crawl, Bitcoin might do a little dance downward or hold its ground. But if the cash floodgates reopen with gusto, we could be looking at fresh all-time highs. Or just a really elaborate game of see-saw. 🎲🤹♀️
the connection between how much cash is out there and what Bitcoin is doing is about as reliable as a weather forecast—sometimes sunny, sometimes rainy, but mostly unpredictable. Still, knowing that cash tends to drip into crypto after about three months might just help you decide whether to buy that extra pizza or hold onto your digital gold a little longer.
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2025-05-29 19:36