Crypto: The Golden Goose or Just Fool’s Gold? šŸ„ššŸ’°

In the grand theater of crypto, where the players are as unpredictable as a cat on a hot tin roof, AndrĆ© Dragosch from Bitwise Europe takes the stage. He spins a tale of regulatory landscapes that seem to shift more than a politician’s promises, suggesting we might just be on the brink of a golden age for crypto. Or is it merely a mirage? šŸ¤”

Next, we have the illustrious Beth Haddock from Warburton Advisers, who, in a delightful twist, answers the burning questions about how regulatory clarity might just be the fairy godmother the crypto market has been waiting for. Spoiler alert: itā€™s not all pumpkin carriages and glass slippers! šŸŽƒāœØ

ā€“ Sarah Morton

Youā€™re currently indulging in Crypto for Advisors, CoinDeskā€™s weekly newsletter that unpacks the enigma of digital assets for financial advisors. Subscribe here to get it every Thursday, because who doesnā€™t love a little chaos with their coffee?

Global Landscape Update ā€“ Entering the Golden Era of Bitcoin and Crypto Assets

Ah, how the winds of change have blown in the last six months! Donald Trump, that ever-controversial figure, took office in the U.S. on January 20, and oh, what a whirlwind it has been! In this brief interlude, the new administration has rolled out a veritable buffet of positive regulatory changes, including:

  • Executive Order on digital financial technology (because why not?)
  • Establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, making the U.S. the biggest sovereign holder of bitcoinsā€”talk about a power move! šŸ’Ŗ
  • Formation of the SEC’s Crypto Task Force, which sounds like a superhero team, doesnā€™t it?
  • Advancement of the GENIUS Act (no, itā€™s not a reality show)
  • Shift in the SECā€™s enforcement strategy, which is as clear as mud.

The Executive Order has catapulted the U.S. into the role of the worldā€™s largest bitcoin hoarder, with more purchases on the horizon. Who knew the U.S. was so keen on collecting digital coins? šŸ’°

Across the pond, the EUā€™s ā€œMarkets in Crypto Assetsā€ (MiCA) regulation has come into play, promising to bring clarity to Europe. Itā€™s like a regulatory spa day for cryptoā€”refreshing and much needed!

MiCA appears to be three to five years ahead of U.S. crypto regulation, which is like watching a tortoise race against a hare thatā€™s taking a nap. If the U.S. manages to catch up, it might just be a photo finish! šŸ“ø

The ECB has also decided to introduce the digital euro CBDC ahead of schedule, which is rumored to use public blockchains like Ethereum. This could send Ethereumā€™s activity soaringā€”like a rocket, or perhaps a balloon at a childā€™s birthday party! šŸŽˆ

It seems bitcoin and its crypto companions are finally stepping into the limelight. But hold your horses! The new Trump administrationā€™s policies have done little to instill confidence in financial markets. In fact, uncertainty has reached levels not seen since the COVID-19 recession, thanks to trade tensions and job cuts. What a delightful cocktail of chaos! šŸ¹

Recession fears are back on the menu, with Polymarket predicting a 41% chance of a U.S. recession in 2025. The latest Fed of Atlanta forecast estimates GDP growth at a thrilling -1.8% for Q1 2025. Buckle up, folks! šŸŽ¢

Job cuts in February have spiked to levels reminiscent of the Covid recession. Itā€™s a wild ride, and risky assets, including bitcoin, are feeling the pinch. But wait! Thereā€™s a silver lining: renewed dollar weakness and rising Fed rate cut expectations might just be the lifebuoy we need! šŸ›Ÿ

Global money supply is accelerating again, which is like a green light for scarce crypto assets like bitcoin. Bitcoin loves a weak dollar environmentā€”it’s like a kid in a candy store! šŸ¬

Thereā€™s

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2025-03-20 18:16