In the grand theater of crypto, where the players are as unpredictable as a cat on a hot tin roof, AndrĆ© Dragosch from Bitwise Europe takes the stage. He spins a tale of regulatory landscapes that seem to shift more than a politician’s promises, suggesting we might just be on the brink of a golden age for crypto. Or is it merely a mirage? š¤
Next, we have the illustrious Beth Haddock from Warburton Advisers, who, in a delightful twist, answers the burning questions about how regulatory clarity might just be the fairy godmother the crypto market has been waiting for. Spoiler alert: itās not all pumpkin carriages and glass slippers! šāØ
ā Sarah Morton
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Global Landscape Update ā Entering the Golden Era of Bitcoin and Crypto Assets
Ah, how the winds of change have blown in the last six months! Donald Trump, that ever-controversial figure, took office in the U.S. on January 20, and oh, what a whirlwind it has been! In this brief interlude, the new administration has rolled out a veritable buffet of positive regulatory changes, including:
- Executive Order on digital financial technology (because why not?)
- Establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, making the U.S. the biggest sovereign holder of bitcoinsātalk about a power move! šŖ
- Formation of the SEC’s Crypto Task Force, which sounds like a superhero team, doesnāt it?
- Advancement of the GENIUS Act (no, itās not a reality show)
- Shift in the SECās enforcement strategy, which is as clear as mud.
The Executive Order has catapulted the U.S. into the role of the worldās largest bitcoin hoarder, with more purchases on the horizon. Who knew the U.S. was so keen on collecting digital coins? š°
Across the pond, the EUās āMarkets in Crypto Assetsā (MiCA) regulation has come into play, promising to bring clarity to Europe. Itās like a regulatory spa day for cryptoārefreshing and much needed!
MiCA appears to be three to five years ahead of U.S. crypto regulation, which is like watching a tortoise race against a hare thatās taking a nap. If the U.S. manages to catch up, it might just be a photo finish! šø
The ECB has also decided to introduce the digital euro CBDC ahead of schedule, which is rumored to use public blockchains like Ethereum. This could send Ethereumās activity soaringālike a rocket, or perhaps a balloon at a childās birthday party! š
It seems bitcoin and its crypto companions are finally stepping into the limelight. But hold your horses! The new Trump administrationās policies have done little to instill confidence in financial markets. In fact, uncertainty has reached levels not seen since the COVID-19 recession, thanks to trade tensions and job cuts. What a delightful cocktail of chaos! š¹
Recession fears are back on the menu, with Polymarket predicting a 41% chance of a U.S. recession in 2025. The latest Fed of Atlanta forecast estimates GDP growth at a thrilling -1.8% for Q1 2025. Buckle up, folks! š¢
Job cuts in February have spiked to levels reminiscent of the Covid recession. Itās a wild ride, and risky assets, including bitcoin, are feeling the pinch. But wait! Thereās a silver lining: renewed dollar weakness and rising Fed rate cut expectations might just be the lifebuoy we need! š
Global money supply is accelerating again, which is like a green light for scarce crypto assets like bitcoin. Bitcoin loves a weak dollar environmentāit’s like a kid in a candy store! š¬
Thereās
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2025-03-20 18:16