Well now, friends, it appears that our dear Bitcoin may find itself about as nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairsâif that one mighty support level around $72,000 decides to buckle. According to them learned folks at Glassnode, some short-term coin owners (those who scooped âem up in the last 155 days) might just stampede for the exits faster than you can say âcrypto calamity.â đ”âđ«
They reckon if that price takes a swan dive below $72,000âbased on a fancy notion called the realized price metricâthen all those nervous Nellies could send this flagship coin tumbling like a raft in the rapids.
In case youâre wonderinâ, realized price is basically what folks actually paid for their coins, not just what theyâre worth this very moment. A mighty fine yardstick, Iâd say, for measuring hopes and dreams.
âShort-term holder realized price rests at $93,000, with some kind of wiggle room from $131,000 down to $72,000. The price seems to be waddling about in that range, nearly tickling the lower edge. Should we dip below $72,000, we might see even more folks jump ship faster than a skittish frog.â đž
Speaking of nerve-wracking, Glassnode also points out that Bitcoin has gotten mighty cozy under these moving averages: the 111 DMA at $93,000 and the 200 DMA at $87,000, and it even paid a not-so-polite visit to the 365 DMA around $76,000. Historical patterns show these markers have the same effect as your grandmaâs front porch: strong support until someone takes a sledgehammer to it. A breach might just holler a big olâ warning that the marketâs feelinâ more jittery than a firework in the henhouse.
âCrossing below these key daily moving averages might unleash a deeper shift in sentimentâlike a sudden chill down a gamblerâs spine.â đŹ
Meanwhile, thereâs talk of a drop clear down to $65,000, which some folks might welcome as a bargain more tempting than a second slice of pie. This figure hails from the true market mean metricâfancy talk for a cost basis formula that tries to figure out what all coins are truly worth based on the prices folks coughed up on secondary markets.
Glassnode also sprinkles in another notion called the active realized price, sittinâ at $71,000. This number ignores the coins that are likely lost or couched away, leaving us with a new critical line in the sand. Cross that, and the price might flail around like a fish at a hoedown, though it may coax long-term buyers out of the woodwork.
âTrue Market Mean at $65,000 and Active Realized Price at $71,000 remain vital support thresholdsâjust above a zone as liquid as an Arizona creek in summer. Slipping into this region might stir up heavy volatility and lure in those patient investors.â đž
Why, as we speak, Bitcoinâs meandering around the $78,888 mark, up a modest 1.8% over the last dayâproving, if nothing else, it sure likes to keep us on our toes. đ
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2025-04-10 21:23