Oh, lookie here! After Donny T’s little tariff party, the economy’s like “what’s up, doc?” 🥳 Investors, bigwigs at JP Morgan, and even Goldman Sachs are playing crystal ball with recession predictions. Market’s like a rollercoaster, stocks are doing the swan dive, cryptos are trying to remember what ‘up’ means, and even hard assets are like “ugh, can’t even.” So, recession in 2025? Let’s chinwag, shall we?
Trump’s Tariff: Economic Revival or ‘Oh, Crap’ Moment?
Donald ‘The Donald’ Trump chucked tariffs at us with the idea of making America rich again, saving jobs, and jazzing up domestic production. But analysts? They’re seeing economic uncertainty and a potential recession since Trump’s tariff shindig.
Affected countries, like China, the EU, Japan, and the gang, are strategizing to tackle these tariffs. China’s like “how about a 34% reverse tariff?” while others are all “let’s hug it out.” Markets are twitching, and some are calling it the financial crisis’ baby steps.
Social media’s buzzing with experts chatting about inflation, yields taking a nosedive, and the R-word. And hey, Fed rate cuts are so in right now. Even Trump’s all “Powell, chop chop!” in his latest tweet.
JP Morgan & Co. Are Like “Place Your Bets on Recession”
JP Morgan’s like “60% chance of recession by 2025, y’all” thanks to wonky U.S. policies. Goldman Sachs is upping their odds from 20% to 35%. Meanwhile, Oxford Economic’s predicting 4% core inflation and GDP growth at a snail-like 1.4%. Moody’s Analytics? They’re seeing 7.5% unemployment and a 2% GDP faceplant if this tit-for-tat continues.
Investors are all “same, same” with these doom and gloom predictions. Polymarket’s like “recession odds at 57%, down from 60% because why not?”
And then there’s Jerome Powell, who’s all “Trump’s tariffs, am I right?” at a recent biz journalism gig. He’s hinting that the economic mess could be nastier than we think. But him and the Fed? Not exactly calling it a recession. Yet.
Final Thoughts: 2025, the Year of Economic Plot Twists?
With Powell’s subtle concerns, Polymarket’s guesswork, and JP Morgan’s doom scrolling, investors are all 🐻. The stock market’s like “what’s my line again?” It’s a toss-up what’s next, but 2025’s looking like the year of economic plot twists.
Now, we’re all waiting with bated breath for the Fed meeting and any “good news” on Trump’s tariff saga. Fingers crossed, folks!
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2025-04-05 16:33