BONK’s Wild Ride: Is It a Miracle or a Mirage?

Open Interest, that fickle companion, climbed 13.4% to $7.63M, like a crowd gathering at a roadside diner, each with their own tale of greed or fear. This is no quiet affair; it’s a barn dance, and everyone’s stepping on toes.
![Standard decomposition of uncertainty falters because methods attempting to derive both aleatoric-reflecting ambiguity in the true probability [latex]p^<i> [/latex]-and epistemic uncertainty-measuring deviation from [latex]p^</i> [/latex]-produce correlated estimates trapped along a diagonal, a limitation which a structurally separated Credal CBM approach successfully circumvents by recovering the inherent geometric independence of these properties.](https://arxiv.org/html/2602.11219v1/x1.png)






