BTC dominance rises to 60%, signaling institutional growth as market uncertainty persists, with altcoins underperforming and volatility low.
As the cryptocurrency market continues to trade sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) dominance has surged to approximately 60%, approaching levels not seen in nearly four years. While BTC has remained resilient to the most recent macro data, other cryptocurrencies (altcoins) and Ethereum (ETH) seem to continue underperforming. This increase in BTC dominance signifies that the market pairs Bitcoin with any further uncertainty in the crypto space. 🌊
More specifically, this performance has come on the back of some distressing initial: the infamous $LIBRA ‘rug pull’, following which Argentine President Javier Milei forced another project off a cliff, disquieting other alike ventures. Such disgraceful incidents have shaken the faith in altcoins and memecoins such that conjecture on the altcoin season being just around the corner isn’t likely to be taken too seriously. 😂
While Bitcoin has been fairly stable, its options market has been subdued, with open interest (OI) still not bouncing off the floor following the expiry at the end of January. The implied volatility (IV) is continuing to go down as the 7-day realized volatility is dropping to 36%. This suggests that traders are waiting to see whether policymakers will implement significant changes. Furthermore, they are looking for clarity on how regulations will specifically apply to crypto. In contrast to merely reacting to pro-crypto rhetoric, the market seeks concrete policy decisions. 📜
BTC Dominance Signals Institutional Growth Amid Economic Uncertainty
Crypto market appears to tilt towards macroeconomic factors as BTC continues to be very correlated to regular equities. With inflation, tariffs, and the U.S. debt ceiling all extremely uncertain. However, crypto implied volatility and the VIX, a traditional measure of market volatility, are trading at their lowest levels. 📈
Most flows are short-term volatility selling or range trading, and market participants are displaying caution. It resembles the market behavior observed around mid-2024 when BTC was unable to break out from its multi-month range. 🕵️♂️
Lastly, the crypto market continues in an indecisive state as Bitcoin dominance becomes stronger while investors show reserve in their actions. Market participants are closely watching for potential breakout triggers as Bitcoin’s dominance strengthens. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s growing dominance signals increased institutional adoption, highlighting its resilience. Despite ongoing economic instability, the market remains cautious, waiting for clearer policy direction. 🕊️
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2025-02-18 00:27