Final Emmy Predictions: Drama Series – ‘Shogun’ Expected to Dominate; Could ‘Ahsoka’ Surprise?

2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series

Final Emmy Predictions: Drama Series – ‘Shogun’ Expected to Dominate; Could ‘Ahsoka’ Surprise?

As a long-time television enthusiast and someone who has spent countless hours engrossed in various shows, I can’t help but feel a deep sense of anticipation and excitement for this year’s Primetime Emmy Awards. The eloquence and artistry that goes into creating these captivating stories and characters never ceases to amaze me.


In its Weekly Commentary published on July 9, 2024, it’s predicted that FX’s “Shōgun” will not only secure a fourth drama nomination for the top category but also rank amongst the top three contenders due to its exceptional performance.

The question is, what other shows will join the lineup? Disney’s “Ahsoka,” which received decent reviews from critics, could get a bump from the Television Academy’s artisan peer groups and be a surprise inclusion at the expense of something such as Prime Video’s “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” or Showtime’s “The Curse.”

As a huge fan of both “Succession” and “The Crown,” I was thrilled to learn that the final season of HBO’s hit show took home an Emmy award for drama. However, I was surprised to find out that only one of its competitors from the lineup – Netflix’s “The Crown” – also made it within the eligibility window.

With a smaller number of entries, the most prominent shows might stand out more, or some unexpected contenders could be overlooked. Which ones will ultimately be selected?

As a dedicated cinephile, I’m thrilled to share that the nominations round voting is now open from the 13th of June and will close on the 24th at 10:00 p.m. Pacific Time. For those in peer groups (if applicable), the top ten round panels voting will take place between the 28th of June and the 8th of July. The much-anticipated Emmy nominations will then be announced on the 17th of July. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies are scheduled for two consecutive nights on September 7-8. Lastly, mark your calendars for the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards airing live on ABC on the 15th of September.

    Final Emmy Predictions: Drama Series – ‘Shogun’ Expected to Dominate; Could ‘Ahsoka’ Surprise?

    And the Predicted Nominees Are

    RankSeries
    1Shōgun” (FX)
    2The Crown” (Netflix) 
    3Fallout” (Prime Video)
    4The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
    53 Body Problem” (Netflix)
    6The Gilded Age” (Max)
    7Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)
    8Ahsoka” (Disney+)

    Final Emmy Predictions: Drama Series – ‘Shogun’ Expected to Dominate; Could ‘Ahsoka’ Surprise?

    Next in Line

    RankSeries
    9The Curse” (Showtime)
    10Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
    11Loki” (Disney+)
    12Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
    13Tokyo Vice” (Max)
    14Elsbeth” (CBS)
    15Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

    Final Emmy Predictions: Drama Series – ‘Shogun’ Expected to Dominate; Could ‘Ahsoka’ Surprise?

    Also In Contention

    RankSeries
    16Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
    17The Green Veil” (The Network)
    18Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
    19Law & Order: SVU” (NBC)
    20Sugar” (Apple TV+)
    21The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)
    22The New Look” (Apple TV+)
    23For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
    24Mayans M.C.” (FX)
    25Average Joe” (BET+)

    Eligible Titles (Drama Series)

    Final Emmy Predictions: Drama Series – ‘Shogun’ Expected to Dominate; Could ‘Ahsoka’ Surprise?

    **Officially submitted and on the Emmy nominations ballot.

    • “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
    • “Alert: Missing Persons Unit” (Fox)
    • “Alex Rider” (Freevee)
    • “All American” (The CW)
    • “All Rise
    • “Almost Paradise” (Freevee)
    • “American Rust Broken Justice” (Prime Video)
    • “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
    • “Average Joe” (BET+)
    • “The Baxters”
    • “Billions” Showtime)
    • “Black Cake” (Hulu)
    • “Blue Bloods” (CBS)
    • “BMF” (Starz)
    • “Bosch: Legacy” (Freevee)
    • “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Chi” (Showtime)
    • “Chicago Fire” (NBC)
    • “Chicago Med” (NBC)
    • “Chicago P.D.” (NBC)
    • “Chucky” (Syfy)
    • “The Cleaning Lady” (Fox)
    • “The Crown” (Netflix)
    • “Cruel Summer”
    • “CSI: Vegas” (CBS)
    • “The Curse” (Showtime)
    • “Dark Winds” (AMC)
    • “Dead Boy Detectives” (Netflix)
    • “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)
    • “Elsbeth” (CBS)
    • “The Equalizer” (CBS)
    • “Fallout” (Prime Video)
    • “FBI” (CBS)
    • “FBI: International” (CBS)
    • “FBI: Most Wanted” (CBS)
    • “Fire Country” (CBS)
    • “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
    • “Found” (NBC)
    • “Foundation” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Gilded Age” (Max)
    • “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
    • “The Good Doctor” (ABC)
    • “Good Trouble” (Freeform)
    • “The Green Veil” (The Network)
    • “Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC)
    • “Halo” (Paramount+)
    • “Harlan Coben’s Shelter” (Prime Video)
    • “Hightown” (Starz)
    • “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
    • “Invasion” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Irrational” (NBC)
    • “Joe Pickett” (Paramount+)
    • “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
    • “La Brea”
    • “Law & Order” (NBC)
    • “Law & Order: Organized Crime” (NBC)
    • “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)
    • “The Lincoln Lawyer” (Netflix)
    • “Loki” (Disney+)
    • “Manifest”
    • “Mayans M.C.” (FX)
    • “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
    • “Mr. & Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)
    • “NCIS” (CBS)
    • “NCIS: Hawai’i” (CBS)
    • “NCIS: Sydney” (CBS)
    • “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
    • “9-1-1” (ABC)
    • “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
    • “Outlander” (Starz)
    • “Parish” (AMC)
    • “Power Book III: Raising Kanan” (Starz)
    • “Power Book IV: Force” (Starz)
    • “Quantum Leap” (NBC)
    • “Reacher” (Prime Video)
    • “The Rookie” (ABC)
    • “S.W.A.T.” (CBS)
    • “Sexy Beast” (Paramount+)
    • “Shōgun” (FX)
    • “Silo” (Apple TV+)
    • “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
    • “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
    • “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
    • “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
    • “Station 19” (ABC)
    • “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
    • “Sullivan’s Crossing” (The CW)
    • “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)
    • “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
    • “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
    • “Tokyo Vice” (Max)
    • “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
    • “The Tourist” (Max)
    • “Tracker” (CBS)
    • “Walker” (The CW)
    • “The Walking Dead: Daryl Dixon” (AMC)
    • “The Walking Dead: Dead City” (AMC)
    • “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)
    • “Warrior” (Max)
    • “The Way Home” (Hallmark)
    • “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
    • “Will Trent” (ABC)
    • “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
    • “The Witcher” (Netflix)
    • “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)

    More Information (Drama)

    Final Emmy Predictions: Drama Series – ‘Shogun’ Expected to Dominate; Could ‘Ahsoka’ Surprise?

    In the year 2023, the victorious series in its category was “Succession” from HBO. The fourth season of this acclaimed show was helmed by Jesse Armstrong, Adam McKay, Will Ferrell, Frank Rich, Kevin Messick, Mark Mylod, Jane Tranter, Tony Roche, Scott Ferguson, Jon Brown, and Lucy Prebble, who all served as executive producers. Dara Schnapper, Georgia Pritchett, and Ted Cohen were co-executive producers. Susan Soon He Stanton held the position of supervising producer, while Gabrielle Mahon produced individual episodes. Francesca Gardiner contributed her expertise as a consulting producer.

    2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

    • Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
    • Feb. 29: Submissions open
    • May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
    • June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
    • June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
    • June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
    • July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
    • July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
    • August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
    • August 15: Final-round voting begins.
    • August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
    • Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
    • Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

    Emmy Prediction Categories

    DramaComedyLimited/Movie
    Drama SeriesComedy SeriesLimited or Anthology Series
    Lead Actor (Drama)Lead Actor (Comedy)Lead Actor (Limited, Movie)
    Lead Actress (Drama)Lead Actress (Comedy)Lead Actress (Limited, Movie)
    Supporting Actor (Drama)Supporting Actor (Comedy)Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie)
    Supporting Actress (Drama)Supporting Actress (Comedy)Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie)
    Directing, Writing (Drama)Directing, Writing (Comedy)Directing, Writing (Limited, Movie)
    Guest Acting (Drama)Guest Acting (Comedy)Television Movie
    Talk Series & Scripted EbMasterGame Show/HostReality Programs
    Documentary (Series, Special, Hosted Nonfiction, Exceptional Merit)EbMaster Special (Live, Pre-Recorded)Animation/Voice-Over

    About the Primetime Emmy Awards

    The Emmy Awards, often referred to simply as the Emmys, are presented annually by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). These awards have been recognizing exceptional achievements in American primetime television since 1949. The Emmys encompass three distinct categories:

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2024-07-17 00:11