Oh, buckle up, folks. The latest prediction from an XRP analyst is stirring up some serious drama. If spot ETFs keep gobbling up tokens at the current pace, XRP might not have any left for the rest of us. šæ
The math? Oh, it’s simple-and by “simple,” we mean “large enough to make your brain hurt.” So here’s the big question: what happens if steady ETF buying crashes into a very limited supply of XRP? Spoiler alert: chaos. š„
ETF Flows Could Outrun Supply (No, Seriously)
According to Chad Steingraber (yes, that’s the real name), one XRP ETF could average a hefty $90 million in daily inflows. Now, multiply that by 12 ETFs, and voila-$1.08 billion every single day.
If half of those flows end up creating fresh demand for XRP, issuers would need to buy up around $504 million worth of tokens-which means approximately 229 million XRP. In ONE day. Just one. (Anyone else sweating yet?)
One Day Billion ETF Flow Scenario (assume current price)
Single Fund Day Avg – $90Million
x12 Funds Avg – $1.08Billion Day
50% Avg Net Share Creation – $504Million
Required Acquisition – 229,090,909 XRP -> 1 DayFor fun – what if one week:
x5 Days – 1,145,454,545 XRPWhat ifā¦
– Chad Steingraber (@ChadSteingraber) November 19, 2025
If we stretch that pace out for a week, weāre looking at a cool 1.14 billion XRP. A month? Oh, just 4.58 billion XRP. By the six-month mark, this number jumps to 27.49 billion XRP-nearly half of the 60 billion XRP currently floating around.
And hold on-if this trend keeps up for a year? Well, theoretically, it could eat up the entire public supply. Unless, of course, prices go up and slow things down, but let’s face it, that doesn’t sound nearly as exciting. š
Early Fund Flows Show Demand… But No Panic… Yet
So far, the early fund inflows are showing some demand, but nothing earth-shattering. Canary Capitalās XRPC ETF opened with a modest $245 million on day one. That grew to $277 million over three days. Hooray! But not exactly a “the sky is falling” situation.

On November 24, Franklin Templeton’s EZRP ETF is launching, with demand estimates ranging from $150 million to $250 million on day one. Oh, and donāt forget about Bitwise, Grayscale, 21Shares, Valkyrie, and CoinShares-they’re just waiting their turn. š
So, here’s the math: assuming all seven ETFs combined create a $7.2 billion annual inflow, thatās a lot of cash. But so far, the market has been… underwhelming. More like a slow burn than an explosive meltdown.
Hereās the kicker: fund purchases donāt just hit exchanges right away. They settle on some weird cycle, and many issuers are buying XRP over-the-counter (shady, right?). That means a huge amount of XRP could be quietly scooped up before it ever shows up on exchanges and makes things go boom. š¤«
$XRP
Lost the previous breakout level.
Looks headed back to $1.50 area.
– Nebraskangooner (@Nebraskangooner) November 17, 2025

Price Drama: XRPās Struggle to Stay Up
As for XRP’s price? It’s not exactly doing the victory dance. The tokenās been hovering around $2.14 and has even dropped by 14% since last week. Yikes. š¬
Technical analysts are now warning of a potential downside. Our buddy Nebraskangooner points to a failed breakout from a descending triangle and says the target could be around $1.50. Thatās about a 30% drop from the recent trading level of $2.15. š³
And in case youāre keeping track, this all follows a rally to $3.66 back in July, a failed attempt to break higher in late October, and now this. Looks like XRPās price is having a bit of an identity crisis. Poor thing.
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2025-11-20 12:34