Hedera Hopes to Bounce Back: Will It Jump or Just Trip Over Its Own Feet?

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Ah, Hedera (HBAR), that plucky little token, valiantly trading around the $0.09 mark, as if it’s trying to hold onto a ledge while the market below is in a free fall. You have to admire its tenacity, even if broader price momentum seems about as lively as a sloth on a Sunday stroll. Yes, there are those fleeting moments of short-term bounces-like a child on a trampoline-but alas, they are often followed by the harsh reality of declining network revenue and ecosystem metrics that weigh heavier than your Aunt Mabel after the holidays.

Currently, HBAR is bobbing around $0.094, anchoring itself with a market cap of $3.9 billion, which sounds impressive until you realize that’s just a fancy way of saying it’s got the financial muscle of a slightly overcooked noodle. And don’t even get me started on the 24-hour trading volume; it’s so modest it could star in an indie film about underachievement.

Support Holds, but Trend Weakness Persists

In recent weeks, HBAR has been dancing around its October lows like a wallflower at a high school prom. Sure, it has found some support in the $0.088-$0.09 zone-like a lifebuoy in a sea of despair-but the overall trend is more bearish than a grumpy bear after a long winter. As long as HBAR remains below the key resistance levels of $0.126-$0.177, it might as well be wearing a sign that says “Do Not Disturb.”

Some optimistic souls in the market are spotting what could be an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern forming-no, not the shampoo, the technical chart pattern! They suggest that if it can muster the strength to break above $0.094-$0.096, it could flirt with the idea of reaching $0.12. But let’s be honest; this scenario would still require more confirmation than a first date.

Technical indicators are showing mixed signals, with the relative strength index (RSI) nearing oversold levels. Meanwhile, the MACD is hanging out in the downscale like a moody teenager refusing to clean their room. Until HBAR can pull itself together and stay above its 20-day, 50-day, and longer-term moving averages, its structural bias will likely remain stuck in the mud.

Ecosystem Metrics and Revenue Trends Could Influence Hedera’s (HBAR) Price Action

Turning our gaze away from price charts, the on-chain ecosystem data suggests activity is cooling faster than my enthusiasm for Monday mornings. Total value locked (TVL) in Hedera’s decentralized finance layer has plummeted from mid-2025 highs, and weekly revenue from decentralized applications is dropping faster than my self-esteem during a karaoke night.

Institutional interest in HBAR-linked products, like spot exchange-traded funds, has seen about as much action as a snail race-meaning not much at all. While other altcoin ETFs are enjoying a robust party, HBAR seems to be stuck outside, peering through the window. Without fresh capital from bigger players, it’s going to be tough to see any price advances, especially when the broader market feels as uncertain as a cat on a hot tin roof.

Analysts are predicting a near-term range-bound outlook for HBAR, with the risk of tumbling toward the low $0.08s if selling pressure continues. A sustained breakout above immediate resistance would be necessary to shift sentiment-because who doesn’t love a good plot twist?

Cover image from ChatGPT, HBARUSD chart on Tradingview

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2026-02-13 13:16