Okay folks, sit tight! šØ Despite Bitcoin (BTC) flexing its muscles lately, trading is about to get juicier than a summer barbecue with all the fireworks during the early hours of the European session on Friday. Yup, itās options expiry time! š
But hey, donāt panic just yet! The market has a funny way of adjusting and rebounding after throwing a little tantrum. šāāļø
What Traders Should Know About Todayās Options Expiry
Brace yourselves-over $4.3 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) options are set to expire today. Thatās right, folks-$3.5 billion in Bitcoin options are about to give us all a rollercoaster ride with an open interest of 30,208. Hold onto your wallets! šø
And then there’s Ethereum, casually sitting at a cool $806.75 million worth of expiring ETH options, boasting an open interest of 177,398. š¤
Now, donāt get too cozy with that Ethereum pillow. Unlike Bitcoin, it seems like the ETH options are feeling a bit shy with a Put-to-Call Ratio (PCR) of just 0.99. The maximum pain level? A casual $4,500. Because who doesnāt love a good pun? š
The “maximum pain point”-a delightful little term that means the price at which most options contracts expire worthless-is like that unpleasant surprise on your birthday that none of your friends warn you about. Ouch! š¬
Just a heads up: todayās options expiry is higher than last weekās. Remember when we were having a quiet $4.3 billion party with nearly 29,651 BTC and 189,700 ETH contracts? Good times. But wait-this week, Ethereum has its PCR below 1, which means traders are feeling pretty optimistic about it. š
So, what’s the scoop? A PCR below 1 means more people are ringing the purchasing bell than ringing the sell bell. Sounds bullish for Ethereum! But Bitcoin? A bit more of a sad trombone sound. šŗ
Still, with Bitcoinās PCR at 1.23 and Ethereumās at 0.99, itās like a seesaw where everyone is just trying to hold on for dear life while we wait to see if this market is going to go up or take a nosedive. š¢
Options Market Signals Caution After Fed Cut as Record Expiry Looms
Letās take a walk down memory lane. The options markets adjusted before the Federal Reserveās interest rate decision, just like we prepare for the inevitable awkward conversation with an ex. š
As a result, implied volatility shot up like a rocket, while trading volume took a nap. Analysts at Greeks.live chimed in with a little something-something about how the volatility has been wilder than a cat meme on the Internet.
āOptions are recalibrating like theyāve had one too many drinks before the Fed meeting. Volatilityās rising faster than my stress levels while watching a horror movie!ā
Glassnode is keeping an eye on things and says the marketās patience after the Fed is akin to waiting for your food to arrive when youāre starving. Bitcoin is chilling above $115,200, with 95% of the supply in profit. Score! šÆ
āFutures show short squeezes, and options open interest hit a record 500,000 BTC ahead of the September 26 expiry. Holding above 115,200 is key while a drop risks a move back toward 105,500,ā wrote Glassnode analysts.
But hold your horses-the real party is next Friday, September 26, when we get the largest weekly Bitcoin options expiry in history! Over $18 billion in notional value will hit the fan! š
At the $118,000 Bitcoin price level, over $2.4 billion is in the money, resulting in a maximum pain of $110,000. So, donāt go expecting a sweet picnic until then! š§ŗ
Next week could be wild as margins usually dictate short-term price action. Just donāt be shocked if it all gets wobbly, like trying to ride a bike after a day at the candy store. š
In the meantime, buckle up! The max pain concept might dictate market behavior like a parent deciding what to watch after they picked the last few movies. Annoying, but youāve got to deal with it! š
As we inch closer to options expiry at 8:00 UTC on Deribit, the Bitcoin price is chilling at $117,147-ask yourself: will it drift toward the max pain at $114,000? And Ethereum-will it drop to $4,500? Stay tuned! The drama never ends! šæ
But fear not! The markets often settle down faster than a toddler who just finished a cake. So, traders and investors should look forward to a ride that might just influence market trends through the weekend! š¢
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2025-09-19 08:38