Markets
What to know:
- Jamie Dimon spotted those pesky cockroaches scuttling around during his bank’s earnings call-yikes! π
- Jefferies, Zions, and Western Alliance are playing bank balerina on a minefield, dancing away losses like it’s a tragic ballet.
- Bitcoin‘s nose-diving with trad markets, but oh, history loves a good government rescue leading to bullish fireworks. π
Picture this: U.S. stocks tripping over their own shoelaces on Thursday, what with credit woes lurking like unwanted guests at a family reunion and the economy slowing down faster than my enthusiasm for housework.
“Spot one cockroach, and trust me, the whole apartment’s infested,” quipped JPMorgan’s Jaime Dimon on his bank’s quarterly earnings gala yesterday, because nothing says ‘earnings call’ like pest control metaphors. πͺ³π
He was raving about those bankruptcies from earlier-like auto parts giant First Brands and subprime auto loan shark Tricolor Holdings hitting the skids. Then, Blue Owl Capital’s co-CEO Mark Lipschultz fired back, advising banks to dust off their own books for vermin. Savage! π₯
But First Brands’ implosion left its banker Jefferies (JEF) feeling the sting, tumbling 25% in a month, including a 9% flogging today. Jefferies shrugged it off like a boss, claiming they could swat away any losses with a flyswatter. Sure, Jan. π
Then, adding to the Thursday drama, Zions Bancorp (ZION) mumbled about a $50 million oopsie on two loans from borrowers now dodging legal heat. Western Alliance (WAL) took it further, suing a commercial real estate sleazeball for fraud. Both stocks nosedived 12% and 10%, turning regional banks into a regional joke. π
The big stock market’s playing it cool for now, S&P 500 down just 0.8%, but everyone’s gone “risk off” and flocked to gold, which climbed another 2.5% to a shiny record near $4,300 an ounce. Solid gold sarcasm, anyone?
As for the digital gold wannabe, bitcoin? Not so much love. Investors are eyeing it like that “risk on” bad boy it is, with BTC crashing to $107,500 before a half-hearted bounce to $108,000, down 3.2% in a day and 11% over the week. Ouchie. π©
Seeds of a bull move? π
Looking back, those trad market meltdowns-like the 2020 Covid plunge or the 2023 bank fiascoes-sent bitcoin spiraling down with stocks. But lo, the government’s magic elixir of fiscal fireworks and monetary madness lit up epic bull runs for BTC. Talk about a plot twist! π’
And get this: that response is already tickling the bond market’s nose. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped eight basis points to 3.97%, lowest since April’s “Liberation Day” freakout. The two-year yield, super sensitive like a drama queen, plunged to 3.42%, unheard of in over three years. π
Peeping at short-term rate futures on CME? Traders are betting 3.2% on a 50 basis point Fed rate cut this month-up from zilch! And odds of 75 basis points by year-end? 11%, versus yesterday’s nada. Bullish sneezes incoming? Well, we’ll see if the Fed’s got cockroach spray in their toolkit. πͺ³πΈ
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2025-10-16 22:52