Modeling the Spread: How AI is Tracking Real-World and Digital Contagions

New research explores how large language models are being leveraged to understand and predict the dynamics of spreading processes, from disease outbreaks to the viral spread of information.


![The observed correlation between the Market Sentiment Predictability Index (MSPI) and subsequent market volatility-where each point represents [latex]\text{MSPIt}[/latex] against [latex]\sigma^{mkt}\_{t+1}[/latex]-lends credence to the interpretation of MSPI as a predictive indicator of market risk states.](https://arxiv.org/html/2602.07066v1/figures/stress_phase.png)

![A reconstruction of a coronal mass ejection (CME) observed on April 21, 2023, utilized in situ magnetic field measurements to model the three-dimensional magnetic field configuration approximately ten hours before its arrival at Wind, revealing specific field lines within the CME’s structure and quantifying the uncertainty inherent in such reconstructions through an ensemble spread represented by [latex]2\sigma[/latex].](https://arxiv.org/html/2602.06926v1/3DCORE_example.png)

