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Science

Predicting the Unpredictable: AI Improves Earthquake Forecasting

21.05.2026 by qfx

A new neural network approach leveraging spatial data and advanced statistical modeling enhances the accuracy of weekly earthquake probability forecasts.

Categories Science

Mapping Markets: How Network Analysis Boosts Financial Forecasting

21.05.2026 by qfx

The Visibility Graph algorithm was applied to a time series generated by a Geometric Brownian Motion-initialized at 100 and characterized by a mean of [latex]0.05[/latex] and variance of [latex]0.5[/latex]-using the “time series to visibility graphs” Python package, demonstrating its capacity to analyze stochastic processes.

A new approach leverages the geometric relationships within financial time series data to improve prediction accuracy.

Categories Science

Forecasting the Future with Diffusion and Dependence

20.05.2026 by qfx

Distributional diagnostics reveal that while models like CSDI and TMDM systematically underestimate the likelihood of extreme events-manifesting as an ‘S’ shape indicative of heavy tail underestimation-CDC maintains distributional alignment even at the highest quantiles, suggesting a more robust predictive capability.

A new framework combines the power of generative AI with statistical modeling to deliver more accurate and robust financial risk predictions.

Categories Science

When AI Meets the Market: Can Digital Agents Find Economic Equilibrium?

19.05.2026 by qfx

Agent Bazaar reveals that standard large language model agents operating in both business-to-consumer and consumer-to-consumer markets exhibit emergent failure modes - destructive price spirals and deceptive listing floods - which are effectively countered by aligned agent types functioning as stabilizing firms and skeptical guardians, respectively, and further enabled by economic alignment finetuning to restore market equilibrium.

A new simulation framework reveals that artificial intelligence agents often struggle to self-regulate within complex marketplaces, necessitating targeted training for stable and fair outcomes.

Categories Science

Beyond Point Predictions: A Chaotic Approach to Stock Market Forecasting

19.05.2026 by qfx

New research introduces a graph neural network that leverages the principles of chaos theory to generate more reliable prediction intervals for stock prices, moving beyond simple forecasts.

Categories Science

Predicting Disease Outbreaks with AI’s Strategic Vision

18.05.2026 by qfx

A new artificial intelligence system leverages the power of language models to autonomously generate accurate forecasts for multiple infectious diseases.

Categories Science

Mapping the Chipmakers: AI Reveals Hidden Industry Ties

18.05.2026 by qfx

A methodological pipeline enables reconstruction of the complex network defining firm-level relationships.

A new approach leveraging artificial intelligence reconstructs the complex web of relationships between companies in the semiconductor industry, offering a dynamic view of supply chains and geopolitical influence.

Categories Science

Predicting the Game: How AI Tracks Player Movement

18.05.2026 by qfx

Information propagates vertically through the Transformer architecture, enhanced by positional encoding to imbue the model with a sense of sequential order.

A new review explores the evolution of machine learning models used to forecast the dynamic movements of athletes, focusing on advancements in trajectory prediction.

Categories Science

Forecasting the Future with Collaborative AI

17.05.2026 by qfx

The Nexus framework establishes a multi-agent system predicated on a three-stage process: contextualization of historical data into structured signals, generation of both macro and micro-scale forecasts to capture differing resolutions, and finally, synthesis of these perspectives alongside a calibration process learned from prior inaccuracies-a design intended to optimize predictive accuracy through layered analysis and iterative refinement of its forecasting model.

A new framework combines the power of time series models and large language models to deliver more accurate and explainable predictions.

Categories Science

Guarding the Agents: A New Approach to AI Security

17.05.2026 by qfx

Securing increasingly autonomous AI systems demands a shift in thinking, and this paper proposes a powerful parallel to the decades of experience in operating system protection.

Categories Science
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