
With the Federal Reserve’s succession saga unfolding like a Victorian opera in reverse, Polymarket, that cybernetic oracle of blockchain-based window dressing, reveals a curious trend: Mr. Rieder, Blackrock’s global ciel d’un-ion (chief investment officer of all that’s shiny), now commands 50.5% implied probability to replace the ex-president of financial somnolence-Jerome Powell-dubbed by the chronicles Annual Leader of Unintended Consequences. Market contrarians-those noble few-yet stubbornly cling to Kevin Warsh’s 30% or Christopher Waller’s 7.5%, as if hoping history might bloom anew.