Bittensor’s Halving Countdown: TAO’s Big Moment Under 90 Days Away!

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Bittensor 🚀
TAO $344.3
24h volatility: 5.5%
Market cap: $3.27 B
Vol. 24h: $85.12 M

is gearing up for a monumental event-the first halving, which is just 83 days away, penciled in for around December 11. Imagine, a day when the universe of Bittensor decides to cut its daily TAO emissions by half, from a generous 7,200 TAO to a more modest 3,600 TAO. This is like deciding to give away only half the cookies at a bake sale because, you know, everyone’s on a diet these days. 🍪

This reduction in supply, akin to turning off the tap of a leaky faucet, is expected to ease the sell pressure on the market, making Bittensor a top contender in the crypto world for 2025. It’s like being the only kid at the party with an unlimited supply of candy while everyone else has to ration their sweets. 🍭

Historically, such events in the Bitcoin world have been followed by strong rallies, much like how a good rain after a drought brings life back to the parched earth. Bittensor, with its tokenomics mirroring that of BTC, is poised to experience a similar renaissance.

Upward Pressure Brewing for TAO

AI researcher Timo Moors adds a layer of complexity to this event by noting that the halving will also tweak the Alpha emissions. Currently, the network spits out 7,200 TAO and 14,400 Alpha daily. Post-halving, these numbers will be adjusted to 3,600 TAO and 10,800 Alpha. It’s like adjusting the thermostat in your house; a small change can make a big difference in comfort levels. 🏡

The TAO halving is expected around 11 December, less than 100 days away. Time to refresh what will happen:

Right now, 7,200 TAO is emitted on-chain every day. – 7,200 TAO * $322 = $2.3M of added market cap daily. – Subnet liquidity pools are filled with TAO based on their price…

– Timo | Neuralteq (@Nrltq_Research) September 3, 2025

The delicate balance between TAO and Alpha_in (the token used to fill subnet liquidity pools) will remain unchanged, ensuring no immediate price shock. However, with fewer TAO tokens hitting the market each day, the price could soar if demand remains robust. It’s like playing a game of musical chairs where the number of chairs is suddenly halved-things get interesting quickly. 🎶

For new subnets, the reduced Alpha_in might pose some challenges in maintaining liquidity pools, but the broader ecosystem stands to gain from the reduced dilution. It’s a bit like pruning a tree; short-term pain for long-term gain. 🌳

Timo also shared a chart illustrating how past BTC halvings (2012, 2016, 2020, and the upcoming 2024 event) have historically ushered in major bull cycles. TAO is now at a pivotal moment, with its first halving set to reshape its tokenomics. 📈

TAO Price Analysis: What’s Next for Bittensor?

TAO is currently trading around $337, and the daily chart reveals a tightening triangle pattern. Analyst Michael van de Poppe suggests that breaking above the 20-day EMA could trigger a significant rally. It’s like waiting for a dam to burst; once it does, there’s no stopping the flood. 🌊

I’m very interested to see if $TAO breaks the 20-Day EMA.

If that happens, then we’re going to be seeing a strong move upwards.

It’s been downtrending for more than a month. $TAO is still yet to get to $1,000.

– Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) September 8, 2025

If TAO breaches the 20-day EMA and surpasses $366, momentum could propel it toward $440 and beyond. The halving narrative could serve as a powerful catalyst, potentially propelling TAO toward the coveted $1,000 mark in 2025. It’s like watching a rocket launch; once it gets past the initial resistance, there’s no telling how high it can go. 🚀

TAO daily chart with momentum indicators as of 8th Sept. | Source: TradingView

However, failing to hold the $300 support could lead TAO to retest $280, and prolonged weakness might push it down to $250. Such a scenario would dampen bullish sentiment leading up to the halving. It’s like having a sunny forecast and then getting rained on-it’s disappointing, but not the end of the world. ☔

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2025-09-08 20:43