Bitcoin to the Moon? 🚀 Institutions Say “Buy, Buy, Buy!” 🤑

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So, you thought Bitcoin was just a passing fad? Think again, my friend! 🌝 The big boys are back in town, and they’re scooping up BTC like it’s going out of style. Could $100k be just around the corner? Spoiler alert: probably, but don’t quote me on that. 🤷‍♂️

Bitcoin has kicked off the new year with the kind of enthusiasm usually reserved for a Vogon poetry reading. 🎉 Except, instead of boredom, it’s a powerful surge in demand from the world’s biggest players. Who knew institutions could be so trendy? 💼✨

The latest data (yes, the same data that’s probably more reliable than your ex’s promises) shows that institutional buying has flipped positive. For eight whole days, these large-scale buyers have been snapping up more coins than miners could create. Miners, meanwhile, are probably muttering, “Thanks a lot, guys.” 🏭😤

This trend marks the end of a period of uncertainty that followed a difficult close to the previous year. Because, let’s face it, 2023 was about as stable as a three-legged chair on a unicycle. 🪑🤹‍♂️

Institutional Buying: The Metric That Goes “To the Moon!” 🚀

Enter the Net Institutional Buying metric from Capriole Investments. It’s like the crystal ball of Bitcoin, but with actual numbers. 🔮📈 This trusty tool combines purchases from corporate treasuries and spot Bitcoin ETFs, because why do one thing when you can do two?

Since 2020, every time this metric has sustained a positive flip, the BTC price has seen an average upside of 109%. The last time this happened, the price jumped by a solid 41%. So, if history repeats itself, we’re in for a wild ride. Or, at the very least, a mildly entertaining one. 🎢

Institutions are once again net buyers of Bitcoin.

Here’s how it looks in the past.

1⃣ +390% 🔥
2⃣ +68% 🚀
3⃣ -13% 😢
4⃣ +61% 🤑
5⃣ +41% 🎉

Average gain = 109% 💰

Up 5% so far… 👀

👉 A unique metric only available at Charts 📊

– Charles Edwards (@caprioleio)

Capriole founder Charles Edwards noted that institutions are once again net buyers of the asset. Because, you know, they missed the drama of the last few years. 🎭 Meanwhile, Bitcoin fell nearly 40% from its October high of $126,200. But hey, who’s counting? (Everyone, apparently.) 📉

Large players are taking advantage of these lower prices to accumulate more. Historically, when institutional buying reaches these levels, it creates a supply shock. There simply aren’t enough new coins being mined to satisfy their appetite. It’s like trying to feed a hoard of hungry Hoovers with a single crumb. 🥖🤖

This pressure usually forces the price higher as buyers compete for a limited supply. Capitalism, baby! 💸

Analysts Predict a Return to $100,000 This Month (Or Maybe Not, Who Knows? 🤷‍♂️)

Network economists are adding more fuel to the bullish fire. Timothy Peterson recently shared that history favors a return above $100,000 for Bitcoin this month. Because, you know, history is always right. (Except when it’s not.) 📜

History favors a return above $100,000 for Bitcoin this month.

Bitcoin has had 3 consecutive months of declines. That has only happened 9 times since 2015. What happens next?

1 month later, Bitcoin was positive 67% of the time. However, the 3 negative instances were all in… 🕵️‍♂️

– Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue)

He pointed out that Bitcoin has suffered through three consecutive months of declines. Since 2015, this rare pattern has happened only nine times. In most of those cases, the price was positive just one month later. So, fingers crossed? 🌈

While some instances in 2018 led to further drops, the current setup looks different. The numbers now indicate that the bottom is likely in. Or, at least, that’s what they want you to think. 🤔

Peterson calculated that a relief bounce could lead to a 15% gain from current levels in the short term. Other analysts are even more optimistic and are eyeing a breakout toward $98,900. If Bitcoin can breach that level, the path to $100,000 becomes much clearer. Or, you know, it could just decide to take a nap. 😴

Retail Traders: Memecoins and Altcoins, Oh My! 🎪

While institutions focus on Bitcoin, retail traders are pouring money into the altcoin market. Trading volume on Pump.fun hit a record $1.27 billion this week. Because nothing says “financial responsibility” like betting on meme coins. 🚀🤡

This explosion in volume shows that the appetite for high-risk assets is back. The CoinDesk Memecoin Index has also already gained 19% since the start of the year. Because who needs a 401(k) when you have Dogecoin? 🐶💰

Other projects are also seeing major gains. For example, SUI jumped more than 15% in a single day. This rally came after a research paper from Mysten Labs about private transactions. Because nothing says “trust me” like a research paper. 📄

Meanwhile, XRP has extended its strong start to the year with a 29% gain since January 1. Even with these gains, the market continues to trade in “Bitcoin season” according to CoinMarketCap. So, Bitcoin is still the main driver of the overall market sentiment. Surprise, surprise. 🚗💨

Related Reading: Grayscale Expects Bitcoin to Hit New High in Early 2026 (Or Maybe 2027, Who’s Counting? 🗓️)

Derivatives and Market Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm? 🌪️

To top things off, the derivatives market is showing a strong bullish bias. Liquidations for short positions hit $400 million in the last 24 hours. So, many traders expected a price slide that never came. Oops? 😬

Funding rates for major assets have also been moderately positive. This indicates that most traders are setting up for further upside. Or, they’re just really, really hopeful. 🌟

Open interest in XRP has reached its highest level since October, meaning fresh capital is flowing into the token. Meanwhile, volatility remains relatively calm according to the BVIV index. This calm environment tends to allow a more sustainable price climb. So, instead of a sudden spike and crash, we might see a slow (but steady) crawl higher. Snail’s pace, anyone? 🐌

In conclusion, Bitcoin is doing its thing, institutions are buying, and retail traders are meme-ing their way to the bank. Will $100k be the next stop? Only time (and a lot of coffee) will tell. ☕✨

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2026-01-06 22:22