A crypto analyst named CrypFlow believes he’s identified the signals that will truly kick off the next Bitcoin bull run. He argues it won’t start at the lowest price point, but only after specific technical indicators appear on the price chart. According to his analysis, three conditions need to be met to confirm the start of this new market cycle.
Bitcoin is currently valued at $71,750, a 4.3% increase over the last 24 hours. Trading has been positive, with the price hitting a high of $72,379 today, according to CoinGecko data.
Why CrypFlow Says The Bottom Is Not The Start
Despite recent gains, Bitcoin remains about 43% below its highest price in October 2025, which was $126,000. Experts disagree on whether the price has hit its lowest point and will now increase, or if it could still fall further.
CrypFlow aims to identify the very bottom of a price drop before Bitcoin starts to rise. The analyst explains that simply stopping the fall doesn’t signal a full recovery. Instead, it’s crucial to see evidence that Bitcoin is no longer acting like it’s in a downtrend – that’s when a true reversal begins.
The analyst’s chart shows that the 50-week Simple Moving Average and the -14 wave trend level have consistently marked shifts between falling and rising prices. For example, in 2021, Bitcoin’s peak was followed by a drop below both of these levels, which then led into the 2022 bear market.
After the 2022 market downturn, the recovery wasn’t instant. It took time for Bitcoin to clearly show it was entering a new bull market, only happening after it broke out of its long-term downward trend and confirmed positive signals.
The current market pattern resembles previous ones. Bitcoin has failed to reach its expected high for 2025 and is currently trending downward, remaining below its 50-week average. Additionally, a key indicator suggests continued weakness. Unless these conditions change, Bitcoin is likely to remain in a downturn, despite any temporary price increases.
What Needs To Happen Before The Bull Run Starts
The analyst believes a new Bitcoin bull market will begin when three things happen. First, Bitcoin’s price needs to rise above a downward trendline established from its recent high. Second, it must regain the -14 level on the wave trend indicator. And finally, the price has to move above the 50-week simple moving average.
These indicators previously signaled the start of a significant price increase. Until we see them reappear, any price gains will be uncertain. It’s important to remember that the 50-day Simple Moving Average reacts after a price change, so we aren’t trying to pinpoint the lowest price. Instead, we want to verify that the market trend is shifting upwards.
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2026-04-09 03:05