Bitcoin, that most fashionable of cryptocurrencies, now finds itself in a most lamentable state, with its fourth quarter of 2025 poised to be its second most wretched in history. Only the infamous crypto winter of 2018, a season so bleak it would make even the most hardened investor weep into their sherry, could surpass it in misery.
Though the chasm between 2018’s nadir and 2025’s near-miss is considerable, the latter’s crimson descent still outpaces the pallid misfortunes of 2014, 2019, and 2022. One must conclude that 2025 is no mere “mild correction,” but a full-blown financial tragedy, worthy of a stage play in Bath’s finest theatre.
Q4, once lauded as the quarter of miracles (average return: 77%), has proven itself a most unkind suitor this year. Investors, who so often rely on December’s bounty to rescue their portfolios from the brink, now find themselves courted by a -23% return-a gift as welcome as a plague doctor’s visit.
From an anticipated +77% to a realized -23%, Bitcoin has deviated by a shocking 100 percentage points. One might say it has traded its powdered wig for a dunce’s cap, leaving its admirers to wonder if the holiday spirit has abandoned it entirely.
Instead of the customary “gift” of gains-such as the +479% of 2013 or the +168% of 2020-holders now receive a heavy loss, as though Santa had mistaken their list for a ledger of debts. A year that began poorly and ended worse is, to say the least, a most vexing narrative for one’s financial well-being.
The psychological toll is considerable. Gains amassed in Q2, like a fleeting romance, have been summarily erased by Q4’s tempest. To end the year in such a state is to convince even the stoutest heart that the asset class is in a long-term downtrend-a fate as inevitable as a rainy day in London.
Why is Q4 so terrible?
Bitcoin began this dreadful quarter with a flourish, reaching a new all-time high of $126,000 in early October. Alas, fortunes turned with the speed of a poorly tied cravat, and by December, it was retreating like a gentleman caught in a compromising position.
According to a December 2025 report by CryptoQuant, the culprit is “demand exhaustion.” The suitors who fueled the 2024-2025 rally-spot ETF buyers, corporate treasuries-have now turned their backs, leaving Bitcoin to flirt with oblivion alone.
Moreover, whispers abound of whales exiting the market, as if fleeing a ballroom filled with unsuitable partners. The expectation of a year-end rally, a final flourish of Yuletide cheer, has instead trapped many traders in a November folly, their investments now as frozen as a pond in February.
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2025-12-24 00:35