Bitcoin’s September Low: Is the Worst Behind Us? Hold onto Your Hats! 🚀

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Markets

What to know:

  • Since July 2024, bitcoin has chosen its monthly lows like a stubborn old man picking fights-always early, within the first 10 days, with only a few rebellious exceptions.
  • Q4 moonshots! The quarter of miracles, historically boasting an average gain of 85%-because why not?

Ah, history-our kindly old friend who likes to remind us that bitcoin likely stamped its September 2025 low, around a modest $107,000, right on the very first day of the month. A subtle whisper that the dust might finally be settling, or at least pretending to.

Rewind to July 2024 and witness a pattern so persistent it’s almost like bitcoin has a routine: find your low early in the month, sulk for a bit, then bounce back as if nothing happened. Only February, June, and August 2025 dared to be different-they staged their lows later-but even they didn’t escape the early-month tantrum before conforming.

Why this early-month drama? Theories abound. Perhaps it’s the institutional suits shuffling portfolios like a frantic card game, or macroeconomic events gathering like storm clouds just after the calendar flips. Or maybe bitcoin just likes to keep traders on their toes.

As Oliver Knight, CoinDesk’s deputy managing editor sprinkled some journalistic wisdom, “Several futures and options markets expire at month’s end or start of the next, causing short bursts of chaos-traders roll over, reposition, or just throw their hands up and wait for the dust to settle.” In other words: a predictable mess that somehow cycles every month.

Remember, the past is never a clear prophecy; it is merely a grizzled old storyteller with a mischievous grin. That said, as Q4 tiptoes closer, the ghost of 85% average returns haunts the market-and October, the darling child of quarters, has only blinked and lost twice since 2013. Hold onto your hats, or your wallets, whichever you prefer.

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2025-09-12 16:30