Predator: Badlands Beats Box Office Expectations — But Media Spins a Modest Start Into a Blockbuster Story

Everyone in Hollywood is thrilled with the box office numbers for Predator: Badlands, acting as if it’s a massive success. News outlets are calling it a record-breaker and the best start for the franchise yet. However, a closer look at the actual numbers reveals it’s more of a solid, but not spectacular, beginning rather than a blockbuster triumph.

The movie opened with around $40 million in North America and $40 million overseas, for a total of $80 million worldwide. While this is the biggest opening weekend the Predator series has ever seen, it’s important to remember that’s not adjusted for inflation. When you factor in inflation, the 2004 film Alien vs. Predator still brought in more viewers.

Despite its flaws, Predator: Badlands definitely exceeded expectations at the box office. Experts at Global Box Office predicted an opening weekend of $23 to $32 million, but the film actually earned around 25% to 70% more than that. This is a significant accomplishment, especially considering the Predator franchise has struggled since the disappointing release of The Predator in 2018, leaving fans unsure about its future.

PREDATOR: BADLANDS is going to be @Disney’s 4th bomb in a row this year.

It’s tracking to make $23M-$32M this coming weekend, holding a budget of over $100M.

The last successful movie released by Disney was ‘Freakier Friday’, back in August.

‘Zootopia’ can’t come soon enough!

— Global Box Office (@GlobalBoxOff) November 3, 2025

Simply exceeding initial expectations isn’t enough for a movie to be truly successful. “Badlands,” with a production cost of about $105 million and a large marketing campaign from Disney, needs to earn around $300–315 million worldwide just to cover its costs.

Honestly, while this launch has been okay, it’s only gotten us about a quarter of the way to actually being profitable. And that’s if people keep talking about us and we don’t lose too many users along the way. It’s a bit nerve-wracking, hoping things stay on track!

Initial numbers suggest this movie won’t be a massive blockbuster like some Marvel films. Historically, these movies see a big drop in ticket sales after the opening weekend – often over 60%. If that happens here, the film might only gross around $230-250 million worldwide, which would be okay, but ultimately a bit of a letdown in terms of profit.

The way the media is reporting on Predator: Badlands feels overblown. News outlets and industry publications are acting like it broke all sorts of records, but it really just performed better than expected for a moderately budgeted sci-fi reboot. While that’s a positive outcome, it wasn’t the massive hit some headlines are suggesting.

The box office was unusually slow this past weekend, which helped Badlands easily reach number one. Regretting You from Paramount continued to perform well, earning $7 million in its third week, and The Black Phone 2 made $5.3 million—both solid numbers, but not enough to challenge a major blockbuster release.

Essentially, Predator: Badlands wasn’t successful because it was exceptionally good, but rather because there wasn’t much competition when it was released.

As a movie fan, what really worries me isn’t just whether a film is good, but whether it actually makes money. Disney and 20th Century Studios are taking big risks with these reboots, and they need them to be huge successes to justify the cost. If Badlands doesn’t even break even, it’ll be a sad reminder that just relying on old, popular names isn’t enough anymore – and that spending a ton of money on something that was popular decades ago can be a real gamble.

While Predator: Badlands did surprisingly well and actually had the best opening weekend of any film in the Predator series, calling it a major success is an overstatement. It’s a positive result, but not the big hit the studio was hoping for.

While it’s too early to make definitive statements, the opening weekend box office for Predator: Badlands is looking good – better than anticipated, though not a massive hit as some reports suggested.

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2025-11-10 19:57