Bitcoin’s $111K Battle: Will It Survive the Bear’s Grasp? ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ’ธ

Over the last hour, bitcoinโ€™s been priced at $110,901 to $111,336 as of Oct. 14, 2025, reflecting continued volatility in a consolidating downtrend. With a market capitalization of $2.21 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $75.97 billion, the digital asset moved within an intraday range of $110,256 to $115,934.

Bitcoin

The daily chart shows that bitcoin experienced a sharp pullback from a recent high near $126,272, following a rally off the local bottom at approximately $108,652. Heavy selling pressure, marked by large red candles and volume spikes during the decline, suggests strong bearish conviction. ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ’ธ

The price is currently consolidating between $110,000 and $116,000, with indications of a potential bear flag. For bullish momentum to resume, the price would need to decisively break above the $117,000-$118,000 level on substantial volume. Until then, the structure favors continuation to the downside, especially if $108,500 is breached. ๐Ÿ•ณ๏ธ๐Ÿ“‰

BTC/USD daily chart via Bitstamp on Oct. 14, 2025.

On the 4-hour bitcoin chart, the short-term trend remains bearish, with a local top at $123,819 and a recent bottom at $109,683. The formation of lower highs and weakening bounce attempts suggests a descending triangle pattern. Volume has thinned out, reflecting a lack of buying interest. The key area of resistance is seen between $114,000 and $115,000, where rejections have previously occurred. If momentum picks up above $116,000, it could invalidate the bearish structure, but currently, pressure favors downside retests of previous lows. ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ’ฃ

BTC/USD 4-hour chart via Bitstamp on Oct. 14, 2025.

The 1-hour bitcoin chart reinforces the bearish outlook with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, consistent with a downtrend. The most recent swing low was recorded at $110,146, and price action remains capped below $112,000. Candlestick structures are showing indecision, and declining volume indicates a probable continuation of the current trend. A short-term recovery would require a break above $113,000 per bitcoin, accompanied by strong volume. However, until that occurs, the bias remains towards lower levels, with intraday targets near $110,200. ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ“‰

BTC/USD 1-hour chart via Bitstamp on Oct. 14, 2025.

Technical oscillators on the daily timeframe present a mostly neutral stance. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 41, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The stochastic oscillator reads 25, and the commodity channel index (CCI) is at โˆ’61, both reflecting consolidation near support zones. The average directional index (ADX) at 25 indicates a moderate trend strength without signaling a directional shift. The awesome oscillator displays a value of โˆ’2,378, showing lingering bearish momentum. Notably, the momentum indicator at โˆ’11,275 and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) at โˆ’59 both show continued downside pressure. ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ’ธ

A review of moving averages (MAs) across multiple timeframes reveals that bitcoin is trading below nearly all key short- and mid-term moving averages. The 10-day exponential moving average (EMA) and 10-day simple moving average (SMA) are positioned at $115,901 and $117,996, respectively. Similarly, 20-, 30-, 50-, and 100-day EMAs and SMAs are all higher than the current price. This alignment supports the prevailing downtrend. However, the 200-day EMA and 200-day SMA, located at $108,045 and $107,129, respectively, are still beneath the current price, providing potential longer-term support zones. ๐Ÿ•ณ๏ธ๐Ÿ“‰

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remains under pressure, with no confirmed signs of a reversal. While minor relief rallies may occur, broader trend signals and momentum indicators continue to lean bearish. Traders are advised to monitor the $108,500 and $117,000 levels closely for any breakout or breakdown confirmations. ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ’ธ

Bull Verdict:

If bitcoin can reclaim the $117,000-$118,000 resistance range with high volume and sustained momentum, the recent consolidation could resolve into a renewed uptrend. Confirmation above these levels would invalidate the current bearish structure and potentially open the path toward retesting prior highs near $126,000. ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“ˆ

Bear Verdict:

As long as bitcoin remains below $112,000 on the short-term chart and fails to break through $117,000 on the daily timeframe, bearish momentum is likely to persist. A breakdown below $108,500 would confirm the continuation of the downtrend, with the next major support seen near the $105,000 level. ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ’ฃ

FAQ ๐Ÿงญ

  • Where is bitcoin price heading next?
    Bitcoin remains range-bound with bearish pressure until it reclaims $117,000 or breaks below $108,500. ๐Ÿ•ณ๏ธ๐Ÿ’ธ
  • Whatโ€™s driving bitcoinโ€™s current trend?
    Heavy profit-taking, weak volume, and resistance at key levels are shaping the short-term downtrend. ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ“‰
  • Is now a good time to buy bitcoin?
    Technicals suggest caution, with confirmation needed above $117,000 for a bullish shift. ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ’ธ
  • What are bitcoinโ€™s key support and resistance levels?
    Immediate resistance lies at $117,000, with critical support near $108,500. ๐Ÿ•ณ๏ธ๐Ÿ“‰

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2025-10-14 17:09